A comprehensive model for evaluating the modernization level of road traffic safety

作者：Chen Junyi^*; Wang Hongyan; Yu Jiawen

来源：Journal of Tongji University(Natural Science), 2010, 38(1): 65-71.

DOI：10.3969/j.issn.0253-374x.2010.01.012

• Accident-causing theories
• Analytic hierarchy process (ahp)
• Comprehensive evaluation
• Comprehensive evaluation model
• Evaluation modeling
• Least squares distances
• Road traffic safety
• Weighted function

Based on basic concept of accident causing theory and Haddon Matrix, the road traffic safety indicator system is established with analytic hierarchy process(AHP). The final weight vector is then calculated with the least squares distance method based on the weight vectors concluded from experts'judgment matrixes. The evaluation baseline is drawn by means of clustering algorithm on the basis of the period data of the motorized countries during their first road traffic modernization. The quantitative value weighted function is adopted for establishing the comprehensive evaluation model, and the result turns out to be the road traffic safety modernization index. At last, the historical trend of Chinese modernization index is obtained, and the overall safety level and the individual indictors are studied. Also the limitation of the evaluation model is analyzed.

• 出版日期2010
• 单位同济大学