科研之友
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摘要
Reliability prediction involves reliability estimation of equipment or products prior to their production or modification by applying mathematical models and data before empirical data are available. It is an important part of reliability improvement work in the whole lifetime of a system. This paper focuses on the reliability prediction of diesel engine components. To reduce the time of gathering useful information and to improve prediction efficiency, a method integrated with design failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) is proposed. The method is a modification of design similarity method in which the reliability of a new component is calculated by comparing its failure modes occurrence in the new design with the one of a similar existing component. An example about reliability prediction of a cylinder head gasket in a diesel engine is used to illustrate the proposed method.
