A theoretical framework for biological control of soil-borne plant pathogens: Identifying effective strategies

作者：Cunniffe Nik J^*; Gilligan Christopher A

来源：Journal of Theoretical Biology, 2011, 278(1): 32-43.

DOI：10.1016/j.jtbi.2011.02.023

• Epidemiological model
• Invasion
• Persistence
• Basic reproductive number R(o)
• Biocontrol

We develop and analyse a flexible compartmental model of the interaction between a plant host, a soilborne pathogen and a microbial antagonist, for use in optimising biological control. By extracting invasion and persistence thresholds of host, pathogen and biological control agent, performing an equilibrium analysis, and numerical investigation of sensitivity to parameters and initial conditions, we determine criteria for successful biological control. We identify conditions for biological control (i) to prevent a pathogen entering a system, (ii) to eradicate a pathogen that is already present and, if that is not possible, (iii) to reduce the density of the pathogen. Control depends upon the epidemiology of the pathogen and how efficiently the antagonist can colonise particular habitats (i.e. healthy tissue, infected tissue and/or soil-borne inoculum). A sharp transition between totally effective control (i.e. eradication of the pathogen) and totally ineffective control can follow slight changes in biologically interpretable parameters or to the initial amounts of pathogen and biological control agent present. Effective biological control requires careful matching of antagonists to pathosystems. For preventative/eradicative control, antagonists must colonise susceptible hosts. However, for reduction in disease prevalence, the range of habitat is less important than the antagonist's bulking-up efficiency.

• 出版日期2011-6-7