Disaster resilience and population ageing: the 1995 Kobe and 2004 Chuetsu earthquakes in Japan

作者：Chen Haili; Maki Norio^*; Hayashi Haruo

来源：Disasters, 2014, 38(2): 291-309.

DOI：10.1111/disa.12048

• Kobe earthquake
• Chuetsu earthquake
• population decline
• Japan
• recovery
• resilience
• population ageing

This paper provides a framework for evaluating the effects of population ageing on disaster resilience. In so doing, it focuses on the 1995 Kobe and 2004 Chuetsu earthquakes, two major disasters that affected Japan before the 2011 Great East Japan earthquake. It analyses regional population recovery on the basis of pre-disaster and post-recovery demographic characteristics using defined transition patterns of population ageing. The evaluation framework demonstrates that various recovery measures make different contributions to disaster resilience for each transition pattern of population ageing. With reference to regional population ageing, the framework allows for a prediction of disaster resilience, facilitating place vulnerability assessments and potentially informing policy-making strategies for Japan and other countries with ageing populations.

• 出版日期2014-4
• 单位防灾科技学院