A Novel Critical Infrastructure Resilience Assessment Approach using Dynamic Bayesian Networks

作者：Cai, Baoping^*; Xie, Min; Liu, Yonghong; Liu, Yiliu; Ji, Renjie; Feng, Qiang

来源：2nd International Conference on Materials Science, Resource and Environmental Engineering (MSREE), 2017-10-27 To 2017-10-29.

DOI：10.1063/1.5005245

The word resilience originally originates from the Latin word "resiliere", which means to "bounce back". The concept has been used in various fields, such as ecology, economics, psychology, and society, with different definitions. In the field of critical infrastructure, although some resilience metrics are proposed, they are totally different from each other, which are determined by the performances of the objects of evaluation. Here we bridge the gap by developing a universal critical infrastructure resilience metric from the perspective of reliability engineering. A dynamic Bayesian networks-based assessment approach is proposed to calculate the resilience value. A series, parallel and voting system is used to demonstrate the application of the developed resilience metric and assessment approach.

• 出版日期2017
• 单位中国石油大学（北京）; 香港理工大学; 北京航空航天大学; 香港城市大学