A custom building deterioration model

作者：Hosny O A^*; Elhakeem A A; Hegazy T

来源：Structural Engineering and Mechanics, 2011, 37(6): 685-691.

• IMS
• deterioration modeling
• Markov chains
• optimization
• repair and maintenance

Developing accurate prediction models for deterioration behavior represents a challenging but essential task in comprehensive Infrastructure Management Systems. The challenge may be a result of the lack of historical data, impact of unforeseen parameters, and/or the past repair/maintenance practices. These realities contribute heavily to the noticeable variability in deterioration behavior even among similar components. This paper introduces a novel approach to predict the deterioration of any infrastructure component. The approach is general as it fits any component, however the prediction is custom for a specific item to consider the inherent impacts of expected and unexpected parameters that affect its unique deterioration behavior.

• 出版日期2011-3-25