A Great Escape from the Bay of Bengal %26quot;Super Sapphire-Phailin%26apos;%26apos; Tropical Cyclone: A Case of Improved Weather Forecast and Societal Response for Disaster Mitigation

作者：Mohanty U C; Osuri Krishna K; Tallapragada Vijay; Marks Frank D; Pattanayak Sujata; Mohapatra M; Rathore L S; Gopalakrishnan S G; Niyogi Dev

来源：Earth Interactions, 2015, 19(17): 1-11.

DOI：10.1175/EI-D-14-0032.1

• Tropical cyclones
• Mesoscale models
• Numerical weather prediction/forecasting

The very severe cyclonic storm (VSCS) "Phailin (2013)'' was the strongest cyclone that hit the eastern coast of the India Odisha state since the supercyclone of 1999. But the same story of casualties was not repeated as that of 1999 where approximately 10 000 fatalities were reported. In the case of Phailin, a record 1 million people were evacuated across 18 000 villages in both the Odisha and Andhra Pradesh states to coastal shelters following the improved operational forecast guidance that benefited from highly skillful and accurate numerical model guidance for the movement, intensity, rainfall, and storm surge. Thus, the property damage and death toll were minimized through the proactive involvement of three-tier disaster management agencies at central, state, and district levels.

• 出版日期2015-12