Anomalous Growth of Aging Populations

作者：Grebenkov Denis S^*

来源：Journal of Statistical Physics, 2016, 163(2): 440-455.

DOI：10.1007/s10955-016-1488-x

• Queue
• Population
• Birth-death process
• Markov model
• Aging

We consider a discrete-time population dynamics with age-dependent structure. At every time step, one of the alive individuals from the population is chosen randomly and removed with probability depending on its age, whereas a new individual of age 1 is born with probability r. The model can also describe a single queue in which the service order is random while the service efficiency depends on a customer's "age" in the queue. We propose a mean field approximation to investigate the long-time asymptotic behavior of the mean population size. The age dependence is shown to lead to anomalous power-law growth of the population at the critical regime. The scaling exponent is determined by the asymptotic behavior of the probabilities at large k. The mean field approximation is validated by Monte Carlo simulations.

• 出版日期2016-4