Nine challenges in incorporating the dynamics of behaviour in infectious diseases models

作者：Funk Sebastian; Bansal Shweta; Bauch Chris T; Eames Ken T D; Edmunds W John; Galvani Alison P; Klepac Petra

来源：Epidemics, 2015, 10: 21-25.

DOI：10.1016/j.epidem.2014.09.005

• Behaviour
• Model
• Infectious disease dynamics
• Movement and travel
• Real-time data collection
• Reporting

Traditionally, the spread of infectious diseases in human populations has been modelled with static parameters. These parameters, however, can change when individuals change their behaviour. If these changes are themselves influenced by the disease dynamics, there is scope for mechanistic models of behaviour to improve our understanding of this interaction. Here, we present challenges in modelling changes in behaviour relating to disease dynamics, specifically: how to incorporate behavioural changes in models of infectious disease dynamics, how to inform measurement of relevant behaviour to parameterise such models, and how to determine the impact of behavioural changes on observed disease dynamics.

• 出版日期2015-3