A simulation framework for crisis management: Design and use

作者：Hetu Seth N; Gupta Samarth; Vinh An Vu; Tan Gary^*

来源：Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory, 2018, 85: 15-32.

DOI：10.1016/j.simpat.2018.03.001

• Crisis management simulation
• Symbiotic simulation

A perennial simulation framework is proposed within the domain of crisis management simulation. Motivated by a need for establishing information superiority through decision-support analysis, the framework is designed to use symbiotic simulation and is also suitable for the hindsight and foresight studies that drive crisis-related preparedness exercises. The framework provides a novel feature of incorporating Human in the Loop simulations using virtual reality as a part of the symbiotic simulation. We coin the term perennial simulation to refer to our framework being enduring (the simulation working symbiotically with the real system), and recurring (performing "what-if?" simulations and continually providing feedback to the real system).
Three case studies examine the application of the framework to crisis-related scenarios. The framework is shown to be useful and capable of dealing with crisis situations and adding value to existing expert advice, forming a symbiotic feedback loop that aids crisis management.

• 出版日期2018-6