Application of surrogate artificial intelligent models for real-time flood routing

作者：Ghalkhani Hossein; Golian Saeed^*; Saghafian Bahram; Farokhnia Ashkan; Shamseldin Asaad

来源：Water and Environment Journal, 2013, 27(4): 535-548.

DOI：10.1111/j.1747-6593.2012.00344.x

• artificial neural networks
• flood routing
• real-time
• stability

Developing a robust flood forecasting and warning system (FFWS) is essential in flood-prone areas. Hydrodynamic models, which are a major part of such systems, usually suffer from computational instabilities and long runtime problems, which are particularly important in real-time applications. In this study, two artificial intelligence models, namely artificial neural network (ANN) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), were used for flood routing in an FFWS in Madarsoo river basin, Iran. For this purpose, different rainfall patterns were transformed to run-off hydrographs using the Hydrologic Engineering Center (HEC)-1 hydrological model and routed along the river using HEC river analysis system RAS hydrodynamic model. Then, the simulated hydrographs with different lag times were used as inputs for training of ANN and ANFIS models to simulate flood hydrograph at the basin outlet. Results showed that the simulations obtained from ANN and ANFIS coincided with the results simulated by the HEC-RAS, and application of such models is strongly suggested as a backup tool for flood routing in FFWSs.

• 出版日期2013-12