Accidental-happened risk in river water environment with interval simulation approach

作者:Xie, GX; Zeng, GM*; Christine, WC; Zhang, PY; Zhang, SF; He, L; Hong, YX; Wan, YL; Li, JB; Liu, HL
来源:Transactions of Nonferrous Metals Society of China, 2004, 14(SUPPL.): 187-192.

摘要

Water quality risk, accidentally-happened risk described by defining a "degree" measure for interval number in a section of Xiangiiang River, was simulated with interval simulation approach based on finite difference. The results show that the risk values described by "degree" measure can effectively reflect its variation process. Under the condition of inexact cognition of river water quality environment, therefore, the approach proposed for research on water environmental risk is feasible and practicable and then supplements the shortage of traditional approaches. Moreover, the study supplies theoretical and decision-making basis for future work on risk real-time management.