Arctic shipping accident scenario analysis using Bayesian Network approach

作者：Afenyo Mawuli; Khan Faisal^*; Veitch Brian; Yang Ming

来源：Ocean Engineering, 2017, 133: 224-230.

DOI：10.1016/j.oceaneng.2017.02.002

• Accident modeling
• Bayesian Networks
• Arctic shipping
• Ship collision
• Risk assessment

This paper presents a methodology for the analysis of Arctic shipping accident scenarios using Bayesian Networks (BN). The proposed methodology is applied to a scenario involving a collision between a vessel and an iceberg. The study aims to identify the most significant causative factors to the potential accident scenarios. It is achieved by undertaking a sensitivity analysis study. The results inform the development of measures to avoid and control accidents during Arctic shipping.

• 出版日期2017-3-15