摘要

In general, production quantities and delivered goods change randomly and consequently total stocks also change randomly. This paper deals with production and inventory control using a Dynamic Bayesian Network. The Bayesian Network is a probabilistic model which represents the qualitative dependence between two or more random variables by a graph structure, and the quantitative relations between individual variables by conditional probabilities. The probabilistic distribution of the total stock is calculated by propagation of probabilities on the network. Furthermore, a rule for adjustment of production quantities maintains the desired probabilities of exceeding the lower and upper limits on total stocks.

  • 出版日期2011-4-30

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