Assessing the Risk of Hydroxybenzene Contamination in Fish Raised on a Chinese Aquaculture Farm

作者：Li Nan; Fu Zetian; Zhang Xiaoshuan; Qian Song S^*

来源：Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, 2010, 16(1): 210-222.

DOI：10.1080/108071030903459072

• hydroxybenzene
• linear regression
• Monte Carlo simulation
• risk assessment

We estimated the risk posed by hydroxybenzene ill farm-raised Crucian carps (Carassius carssius) from a pond oil a fish farm ill Beijing, China, by analyzing a time-series of observed hydroxybenzene concentrations in fish within a culturing season ill year 2006. We Used the basic linear regression to model the data, and Forecast the probability of hydroxybenzene concentration ill pond fish exceeding selected health effect criteria (the risk) using Monte Carlo simulation. The risk is highly correlated with the time a fish stays ill the pond. The results indicate that the risk-days ill pond relationship resembles a sigmoid function with all inflection point around 150 clays. The resulting model call be Used to demonstrate the benefit of improving water quality in terms of increased fish production

• 出版日期2010-2
• 单位中国农业大学