A path-dependent contingent-claims approach to capacity investments

作者:Driouchi Tarik*; Bennett David; Simpson Gary
来源:European Journal of Operational Research, 2010, 201(1): 319-323.
DOI:10.1016/j.ejor.2009.02.029

摘要

This note presents a contingent-claims approach to strategic capacity planning. We develop models for capacity choice and expansion decisions in a single firm environment where investment is irreversible and demand is uncertain. These models illustrate specifically the relevance of path-dependent options analysis to planning capacity investments when the firm adopts demand tracking or average capacity strategies. It is argued that Asian/average type real options can explain hysteresis phenomena in addition to providing superior control of assets in place.

  • 出版日期2010-2-16