Definition of a short-cut methodology for assessing earthquake-related Na-Tech risk

作者：Busini Valentina; Marzo Enrico; Callioni Andrea; Rota Renato^*

来源：Journal of Hazardous Materials, 2011, 192(1): 329-339.

DOI：10.1016/j.jhazmat.2011.05.022

• Na-Tech
• Industrial accidents
• Natural disasters
• Earthquake
• Analytic Hierarchy Process

Na-Tech (Natural and Technological) refers to industrial accidents triggered by natural events such as storms, earthquakes, flooding, and lightning. Herein, a qualitative methodology for the initial assessment of earthquake Na-Tech risk has been developed as a screening tool to identify which situations require a much more expensive Quantitative Risk Analysis (QRA). The proposed methodology, through suitable Key Hazard Indicators (KHIs), identifies the Na-Tech risk level associated with a given situation (i.e., a process plant located in a given territory), using the Analytical Hierarchy Process as a multi-criteria decision tool for the evaluation of such KHIs. The developed methodology was validated by comparing its computational results with QRA results that involved Na-Tech events previously presented in literature.

• 出版日期2011-8-15