A discrete event simulation tool to support and predict hospital and clinic staffing

作者:DeRienzo Christopher M*; Shaw Ryan J; Meanor Phillip; Lada Emily; Ferranti Jeffrey; Tanaka David
来源:Health Informatics Journal, 2017, 23(2): 124-133.
DOI:10.1177/1460458216628314

摘要

We demonstrate how to develop a simulation tool to help healthcare managers and administrators predict and plan for staffing needs in a hospital neonatal intensive care unit using administrative data. We developed a discrete event simulation model of nursing staff needed in a neonatal intensive care unit and then validated the model against historical data. The process flow was translated into a discrete event simulation model. Results demonstrated that the model can be used to give a respectable estimate of annual admissions, transfers, and deaths based upon two different staffing levels. The discrete event simulation tool model can provide healthcare managers and administrators with (1) a valid method of modeling patient mix, patient acuity, staffing needs, and costs in the present state and (2) a forecast of how changes in a unit's staffing, referral patterns, or patient mix would affect a unit in a future state.

  • 出版日期2017-6