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摘要
A degree-day (DD) model of West Nile virus capable of forecasting real-time transmission risk in the continental United States of America up to one week in advance using a 50-km grid is available online at https://sites.google.com/site/arbovirusmap/. Daily averages of historical risk based on temperatures for 1994-2003 are available at 10-km resolution. Transmission risk maps can be downloaded from 2010 to the present. The model can be adapted to work with any arbovirus for which the temperature-related parameters are known, e. g. Rift Valley fever virus. To more effectively assess virus establishment and transmission, the model incorporates %26quot;compound risk%26quot; maps and forecasts, which includes livestock density as a parameter.
- 出版日期2012-11
