Artificial Intelligence and Amikacin Exposures Predictive of Outcomes in Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis Patients

作者:Modongo Chawangwa; Pasipanodya Jotam G; Magazi Beki T; Srivastava Shashikant; Zetola Nicola M; Williams Scott M; Sirugo Giorgio; Gumbo Tawanda
来源:Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy, 2016, 60(10): 5928-5932.
DOI:10.1128/AAC.00962-16

摘要

Aminoglycosides such as amikacin continue to be part of the backbone of treatment of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB). We measured amikacin concentrations in 28 MDR-TB patients in Botswana receiving amikacin therapy together with oral levofloxacin, ethionamide, cycloserine, and pyrazinamide and calculated areas under the concentration-time curves from 0 to 24 h (AUC(0-24)). The patients were followed monthly for sputum culture conversion based on liquid cultures. The median duration of amikacin therapy was 184 (range, 28 to 866) days, at a median dose of 17.30 (range 11.11 to 19.23) mg/kg. Only 11 (39%) patients had sputum culture conversion during treatment; the rest failed. We utilized classification and regression tree analyses (CART) to examine all potential predictors of failure, including clinical and demographic features, comorbidities, and amikacin peak concentrations (C-max), AUC(0-24), and trough concentrations. The primary node for failure had two competing variables, C-max of < 67 mg/liter and AUC(0-24) of< 568.30 mg.h/L; weight of>41 kg was a secondary node with a score of 35% relative to the primary node. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the CART model was an R-2 = 0.90 on posttest. In patients weighing> 41 kg, sputum conversion was 3/3 (100%) in those with an amikacin C-max of >= 67 mg/liter versus 3/15 (20%) in those with a C-max of< 67 mg/liter (relative risk [RR] = 5.00; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.82 to 13.76). In all patients who had both amikacin C-max and AUC(0-24) below the threshold, 7/7 (100%) failed, compared to 7/15 (47%) of those who had these parameters above threshold (RR = 2.14; 95% CI, 1.25 to 43.68). These amikacin dose-schedule patterns and exposures are virtually the same as those identified in the hollow-fiber system model.

  • 出版日期2016-10