Nowcasting with Data Assimilation: A Case of Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation

作者：Otsuka Shigenori^*; Kotsuki Shunji; Miyoshi Takemasa

来源：Weather and Forecasting, 2016, 31(5): 1409-1416.

DOI：10.1175/WAF-D-16-0039.1

Space-time extrapolation is a key technique in precipitation nowcasting. Motions of patterns are estimated using two or more consecutive images, and the patterns are extrapolated in space and time to obtain their future patterns. Applying space-time extrapolation to satellite-based global precipitation data will provide valuable information for regions where ground-based precipitation nowcasts are not available. However, this technique is sensitive to the accuracy of the motion vectors, and over the past few decades, previous studies have investigated methods for obtaining reliable motion vectors such as variational techniques. In this paper, an alternative approach applying data assimilation to precipitation nowcasting is proposed. A prototype extrapolation system is implemented with the local ensemble transform Kalman filter and is tested with the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency's Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP) product. Data assimilation successfully improved the global precipitation nowcasting with the real-case GSMaP data.

• 出版日期2016-10