摘要

In this study, the b-values of frequency-magnitude earthquake distributions were mapped spatially along the sagaing fault zone (SFZ), central Myanmar. Three sub-datasets of the complete earthquake catalogue were tested in order to ensure the applied assumption. Using the present-day dataset (1980-2010), two areas of low b-values, which are prospective potential earthquake sources, were identified at the Naypyidaw-Mandalay and southwestern part of Myitkyina in the central and northern part of the SFZ, respectively. To assess the possible earthquake magnitudes, the b-values were mapped in the cross-section dimension along the SFZ. The obtained areas of low b-values, referred to as the fault asperity regions, conformed to those illustrated in the surface map. The asperity%26apos;s sizes, examined from specific low b-values of %26lt;= 0.65 and %26lt;= 0.060 were quantitatively estimated and empirically converted to the potential earthquake magnitudes. This analysis revealed three prospective areas surrounding the Myitkyina regions capable of generating earthquakes in the future with a possible magnitude of 8.6 Richter. The contribution of effective mitigation plans are, therefore, urgently needed for Myanmar and the adjacent area.

  • 出版日期2013-12

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