Nonlinear Production Planning of Oil-Refinery Units for the Future Fuel Market in Brazil: Process Design Scenario-Based Model

作者：Menezes Brenno C^*; Moro Lincoln F L; Lin Whei O; Medronho Ricardo A; Pessoa Fernando L P

来源：Industrial & Engineering Chemistry Research, 2014, 53(11): 4352-4365.

DOI：10.1021/ie402291v

The oil industry in Brazil has accounted for US$300 billion in investments over the past 10 years, and further expansions are planned to supply the needs of the future fuel market in terms of both quantity and quality. In this paper we analyze the Brazilian fuel production and market scenarios considering the country's planned investments to prevent a fuel deficit of around 30% in 2020. A nonlinear programming model is proposed to predict the national overall capacity for different oil-refinery units considering four future market scenarios. Single-period operational planning cases for the present and intermediate scenarios and those considered in 2020 are proposed by changing demands, costumer preference, and planned investments to calculate fuel production and import figures for the current and future production and market scenarios in the country. The results indicate a different processing outline in the national overall unit capacity planning.

• 出版日期2014-3-19