Assessing the Surface Solar Radiation Budget in the WRF Model: A Spatiotemporal Analysis of the Bias and Its Causes

作者：Ruiz Arias Jose A^*; Arbizu Barrena Clara; Santos Alamillos Francisco J; Tovar Pescador Joaquin; Pozo Vazquez David

来源：Monthly Weather Review, 2016, 144(2): 703-711.

DOI：10.1175/MWR-D-15-0262.1

• Physical Meteorology and Climatology
• Cloud radiative effects
• Radiative fluxes
• Surface fluxes
• Models and modeling
• Convective parameterization
• Cumulus clouds
• Numerical weather prediction
• forecasting

Solar radiation plays a key role in the atmospheric system but its distribution throughout the atmosphere and at the surface is still very uncertain in atmospheric models, and further assessment is required. In this study, the shortwave downward total solar radiation flux (SWD) predicted by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model at the surface is validated over Spain for a 10-yr period based on observations of a network of 52 radiometric stations. In addition to the traditional pointwise validation of modeled data, an original spatially continuous evaluation of the SWD bias is also conducted using a principal component analysis. Overall, WRF overestimates the mean observed SWD by 28.9 W m(-2), while the bias of ERA-Interim, which provides initial and boundary conditions to WRF, is only 15.0 W m(-2). An important part of the WRF SWD bias seems to be related to a very low cumulus cloud amount in the model and, possibly, a misrepresentation of the radiative impact of this type of cloud.

• 出版日期2016-2