摘要

Possible pathways for the evolution of hydrogen (H2) supply infrastructure in The Netherlands are explored and then, from a broader perspective, important factors that can play pivotal role in the evolution, and success, of Dutch H2 economy are analysed. First, an optimization framework (based on comprehensive spatio-temporal techno-economic analysis) is used to map out optimal transition pathways if H2 were to be introduced in the Dutch transport sector. It is observed that a centralized supply network (with production facilities based on the Rotterdam area and H2 is trucked to other regions) will be necessary, in the base-case scenario with 25% market penetration of fuel cell vehicles by 2050. Second, a critical quantitative and qualitative assessment is carried out to understand when do (or can) other production technologies become economically competitive with steam methane reforming (SMR), to produce H2. For instance, in the case of coal gasification (CG), for a medium size plant (similar to 150 tpd), coal ($ /MMBtu) needs to be about 7$ cheaper than natural gas ($ /MMBtu) for CG, at its current state of the technology, to be economically competitive with SMR. Third, since the evolution and eventually the success of fossil-based H2 economy, especially during the transition period, may partly depend on the prospects for the carbon capture and storage (CCS), a qualitative assessment of the Dutch CCS potential and current activities is carried out. (Disclaimer: Resul

  • 出版日期2012-8

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