A wavelet-linear genetic programming model for sodium (Na+) concentration forecasting in rivers

作者：Ravansalar Masoud^*; Rajaee Taher; Zounemat Kermani Mohammad

来源：Journal of Hydrology, 2016, 537: 398-407.

DOI：10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.03.062

• Water quality
• Na+ concentration
• Wavelet-linear genetic programming
• Data driven model

The prediction of water quality parameters in water resources such as rivers is of importance issue that needs to be considered in better management of irrigation systems and water supplies. In this respect, this study proposes a new hybrid wavelet-linear genetic programming (WLGP) model for prediction of monthly sodium (Na+) concentration. The 23-year monthly data used in this study, were measured from the Asi River at the Demirkopru gauging station located in Antakya, Turkey. At first, the measured discharge (Q) and Na+ datasets are initially decomposed into several sub-series using discrete wavelet transform (DWT). Then, these new sub-series are imposed to the ad hoc linear genetic programming (LGP) model as input patterns to predict monthly Na+ one month ahead. The results of the new proposed WLGP model are compared with LGP, WANN and ANN models. Comparison of the models represents the superiority of the WLGP model over the LGP, WANN and ANN models such that the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiencies (NSE) for WLGP, WANN, LGP and ANN models were 0.984, 0.904, 0.484 and 0351, respectively. The achieved results even points to the superiority of the single LGP model than the ANN model. Continuously, the capability of the proposed WLGP model in terms of prediction of the Na+ peak values is also presented in this study.

• 出版日期2016-6