Moving prediction of exacerbation in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease for patients in telecare

作者:Jensen Morten H*; Cichosz Simon L; Dinesen Birthe; Hejlesen Ole K
来源:Journal of Telemedicine and Telecare, 2012, 18(2): 99-103.
DOI:10.1258/jtt.2011.110607

摘要

We investigated whether physiological data can be used for predicting chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations. Home measurements from 57 patients were analysed, during which 10 exacerbations occurred in nine patients. A total of 273 different features were evaluated for their discrimination abilities between periods with and without exacerbations. The analysis showed that if a sensitivity level of 70% is considered to be acceptable, then the specificity was 95% and the AUC was 0.73, i.e. it is possible to discriminate between periods of exacerbation and periods without. A system capable of predicting risk could provide support to COPD patients in their tele-rehabilitation.

  • 出版日期2012