A Discussion on the Basic Definition for Risk of Meteorological Disasters and a Basic Assessment Model

作者：Guo Shujun; Huang Chongfu^*; Liu Guolei; Zhao Hanping

来源：2nd International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response, 2009-10-19 to 2009-10-21.

• Meteorological disaster
• risk assessment
• information diffusion
• Drought-Heat-Wind
• risk regionalization

Reviewing the problems in existing risk definitions of meteorological disasters, we suggest a new definition: risk of meteorological disaster is a scene in the future associated with the adverse incident caused by meteorological factors. We also discuss the basic model for assessing risks that consists of three steps: estimating hazards, analyzing vulnerability and inferring loss. By using the model and the information diffusion technique, we regionalize the risks of Drought-Heat-Wind disaster for the wheat planting areas in Hebei Province, China.

• 出版日期2009
• 单位北京师范大学