A theory of subjective learning

作者:Dillenberger David*; Lleras Juan Sebastian; Sadowski Philipp; Takeoka Norio
来源:Journal of Economic Theory, 2014, 153: 287-312.
DOI:10.1016/j.jet.2014.07.003

摘要

We study an individual who faces a dynamic decision problem in which the process of information arrival is unobserved by the analyst. We elicit subjective information directly from choice behavior by deriving two utility representations of preferences over menus of acts. One representation uniquely identifies information as a probability measure over posteriors and the other identifies information as a partition of the state space. We compare individuals who expect to learn differently in terms of their preference for flexibility. On the extended domain of dated-menus, we show how to accommodate gradual learning over time by means of a subjective filtration.

  • 出版日期2014-9