Hybrid approaches based on SARIMA and artificial neural networks for inspection time series forecasting

作者：Ruiz Aguilar J J^*; Turias I J; Jimenez Come M J

来源：Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review , 2014, 67: 1-13.

DOI：10.1016/j.tre.2014.03.009

• Inspection forecasting
• Artificial neural networks
• SARIMA
• Hybrid models

In this paper, the number of goods subject to inspection at European Border Inspections Post are predicted using a hybrid two-step procedure. A hybridization methodology based on integrating the data obtained from autoregressive integrated moving averages (SARIMA) model in the artificial neural network model (ANN) to predict the number of inspections is proposed. Several hybrid approaches are compared and the results indicate that the hybrid models outperform either of the models used separately. This methodology may become a powerful decision-making tool at other inspection facilities of international seaports or airports.

• 出版日期2014-7