An ANFIS algorithm for improved forecasting of oil consumption: a case study of USA, Russia, India and Brazil

作者：Azadeh Ali^*; Saberi Morteza; Ghorbani Sara

来源：Journal of Scientific & Industrial Research, 2010, 69(3): 194-203.

• Adaptive network based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS)
• Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE)
• Oil consumption estimation

This paper proposed an adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) algorithm for oil consumption forecasting based on monthly oil consumption (January 2001 - September 2006) in USA, Russia, India and Brazil. Using mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), efficiency of different ANFIS models was examined. Proposed algorithm used Autocorrelation ACF) to define input variables irrespective of trial and error method (TEM). Algorithm for calculating ANFIS performance is based on its closed and open simulation abilities.

• 出版日期2010-3