An adaptive sampling approach to reduce uncertainty in slope stability analysis

作者:Cai, Jing-Sen; Yeh, Tian-Chyi Jim*; Yan, E-Chuan; Tang, Rui-Xuan; Wen, Jet-Chau; Huang, Shao-Yang
来源:Landslides, 2018, 15(6): 1193-1204.
DOI:10.1007/s10346-017-0936-2

摘要

An adaptive sampling approach is proposed, which can sample spatially varying shear strength parameters efficiently to reduce uncertainty in the slope stability analysis. This approach employs a limit equilibrium model and stochastic conditional methodology to determine the likely sampling locations. Karhunen-LoSve expansion is used to conduct the conditional Monte Carlo simulation. A first-order analysis is also proposed to ease the computational burden associated with Monte Carlo simulation. These approaches are then tested using borehole data from a field site. Results indicate that the proposed adaptive sampling approach is an effective and efficient sampling scheme for reducing uncertainty in slope stability analysis.