A combined usage of stochastic and quantitative risk assessment methods in the worksites: Application on an electric power provider

作者：Marhavilas P K^*; Koulouriotis D E

来源：Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2012, 97(1): 36-46.

DOI：10.1016/j.ress.2011.09.006

• Quantitative risk assessment
• Stochastic processes
• Time series
• Societal risk
• FN curves
• Risk criteria

An individual method cannot build either a realistic forecasting model or a risk assessment process in the worksites, and future perspectives should focus on the combined forecasting/estimation approach. The main purpose of this paper is to gain insight into a risk prediction and estimation methodological framework, using the combination of three different methods, including the proportional quantitative-risk-assessment technique (PRAT), the time-series stochastic process (TSP), and the method of estimating the societal-risk (SRE) by F-N curves. In order to prove the usefulness of the combined usage of stochastic and quantitative risk assessment methods, an application on an electric power provider industry is presented to, using empirical data.

• 出版日期2012-1