Ambiguity Aversion with Three or More Outcomes

作者:Machina Mark J*
来源:The American Economic Review, 2014, 104(12): 3814-3840.
DOI:10.1257/aer.104.12.3814

摘要

Ambiguous choice problems which involve three or more outcome values can reveal aspects of ambiguity and ambiguity aversion which cannot be displayed in the classic two-outcome Ellsberg urn problems, and hence are not always captured by models designed to accommodate them. These aspects include Allais-type preferences over purely subjective acts, attitudes toward different sources involving different amounts of ambiguity, and attitudes toward ambiguity at different outcome levels. This paper presents a few such examples, and examines the standard models' predictions and performance in such cases.

  • 出版日期2014-12

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