A new approach to fuzzy dynamic fault tree analysis using the weakest n-dimensional t-norm arithmetic

作者：Jiang Ge; Yuan Hongjie; Li Peichang; Li Peng

来源：Chinese Journal of Aeronautics, 2018, 31(7): 1506-1514.

DOI：10.1016/j.cja.2018.04.014

• Fuzzy dynamic fault tree analysis
• Fuzzy theory
• Reliability evaluation
• Sequential binary decision diagrams
• The weakest n-dimensional t-norm arithmetic

Dynamic fault tree analysis is widely used for the reliability analysis of the complex system with dynamic failure characteristics. In many circumstances, the exact value of system reliability is difficult to obtain due to absent or insufficient data for failure probabilities or failure rates of components. The traditional fuzzy operation arithmetic based on extension principle or interval theory may lead to fuzzy accumulations. Moreover, the existing fuzzy dynamic fault tree analysis methods are restricted to the case that all system components follow exponential time-to-failure distributions. To overcome these problems, a new fuzzy dynamic fault tree analysis approach based on the weakest n-dimensional t-norm arithmetic and developed sequential binary decision diagrams method is proposed to evaluate system fuzzy reliability. Compared with the existing approach, the proposed method can effectively reduce fuzzy cumulative and be applicable to any time-to-failure distribution type for system components. Finally, a case study is presented to illustrate the application and advantages of the proposed approach.

• 出版日期2018-7
• 单位中国舰船研究设计中心; 北京航空航天大学