Blood biomarkers as predictors of long-term mortality in COPD

作者:Mendy Angelico*; Forno Erick; Niyonsenga Theophile; Gasana Janvier
来源:Clinical Respiratory Journal, 2018, 12(5): 1891-1899.
DOI:10.1111/crj.12752

摘要

BackgroundBlood biomarkers are easily accessible and might reflect chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) activity.
AimThe aim of this study was to determine whether a panel of blood biomarkers [C-reactive protein (CRP), neutrophils, eosinophils, albumin and vitamin D] could predict mortality in COPD.
MethodsWe analyzed data from 431 COPD participants to the 2007-2010 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys who were followed for a median time of 36months. COPD was defined as post-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1second (FEV1) and forced vital capacity ratio <0.70. Weibull survival analysis adjusted for covariates was performed to calculate the risk of mortality associated with the biomarkers, and C-statistics was used to assess their added predictive value.
ResultsDuring follow-up, 38 of the 431 participants died. Participants with high CRP, eosinophil count <2%, hypoalbuminemia and hypovitaminosis D had worse baseline FEV1 and subsequently higher mortality compared to controls. In adjusted analysis, increasing CRP [hazard ratio (HR): 4.45, 95% CI: 1.91-10.37] and neutrophil count (HR: 1.07, 95% CI: 1.03-1.11) as well as decreasing eosinophil count (HR: 7.03, 95% CI: 2.05-24.01) were associated with an increased risk of mortality. The addition of CRP with eosinophil and/or neutrophil count significantly improved a base model for the prediction of mortality which included age, gender, race/ethnicity, body mass index, smoking, poverty income ratio, asthma, diabetes, hypertension and history of stroke or myocardial infarction.
ConclusionHigh CRP and neutrophils as well as low eosinophils are predictive of poor COPD prognosis. They also add significant value to prediction models of mortality in COPD.

  • 出版日期2018-5