Assumptions of IV Methods for Observational Epidemiology

作者：Didelez Vanessa^*; Meng Sha; Sheehan Nuala A

来源：Statistical Science, 2010, 25(1): 22-40.

DOI：10.1214/09-STS316

• Causal inference
• instrumental variables
• Mendelian randomization
• relative bias
• structural mean models

Instrumental variable (IV) methods are becoming increasingly popular as they seem to offer the only viable way to overcome the problem of unobserved confounding in observational studies. However, some attention has to be paid to the details, as not all such methods target the same causal parameters and some rely on more restrictive parametric assumptions than others. We therefore discuss and contrast the most common IV approaches with relevance to typical applications in observational epidemiology. Further, we illustrate and compare the asymptotic bias of these IV estimators when underlying assumptions are violated in a numerical study. One of our conclusions is that all IV methods encounter problems in the presence of effect modification by unobserved confounders. Since this can never be ruled out for sure, we recommend that practical applications of IV estimators be accompanied routinely by a sensitivity analysis.

• 出版日期2010-2