LOOKING FORWARD IN RECORDS OF YOUTH ABUSED AS INFANTS: RISKS FOR HOMICIDAL, VIOLENT, AND DELINQUENT OFFENSES

作者:Zagar Robert John*; Busch Kenneth G; Grove William M; Hughes John Russell; Arbit Jack
来源:Psychological Reports, 2009, 104(1): 47-75.
DOI:10.2466/PR0.104.1.47-75

摘要

To study risks for abuse and later homicidal behavior, 192 abused infants (M age = 3.12 yr., SD = 1.48; 82 girls, 110 boys) and 192 controls were matched on demographics and examined; data discriminating abused and later homicidal cases were analyzed with Shao's bootstrapped logistic regression. Predictors of Abused status were injury, burn, poisoning, fetal substance exposure (OR=2.47), later parental or youth court contacts (OR = 1.86e+12), and parental alcohol abuse (OR =54; AUC =.99; 95%CI =.96-99). Youth tracked through records 12 years (to M age= 12.17 yr., SD=1.89) were classified into Abused Later Homicidal (11%, n=21), Abused Later Violent (14%, n=27), Abused Later Delinquent (31%, n=60), Abused Later Nondelinquent (n=44), and Control groups (n=192). Data were analyzed similarly. When the Abused Later Homicidal was contrasted with the Control group, predictors of homicide were three or more home/school moves (OR=.78), illnesses (OR=.90), and later court contacts (OR=1.75e+07; AUC=.99; 95%CI=.90-98). When the Abused Later Homicidal was compared with the Abused Later Nondelinquent group, predictors of homicide were poorer executive OR=2.29) and later court contacts (OR= 7.78e+06; AUC=.94; 95%CI=.90-98).