Population Status of a Cryptic Top Predator: An Island-Wide Assessment of Tigers in Sumatran Rainforests

作者:Wibisono Hariyo T*; Linkie Matthew; Guillera Arroita Gurutzeta; Smith Joseph A; Sunarto; Pusparini Wulan; Asriadi; Baroto Pandu; Brickle Nick; Dinata Yoan; Gemita Elva; Gunaryadi Donny; Haidir Iding A; Herwansyah; Karina Indri; Kiswayadi Dedy; Kristiantono Decki; Kurniawan Harry; Lahoz Monfort Jose J; Leader Williams Nigel; Maddox Tom; Martyr Deborah J; Maryati; Nugroho Agung; Parakkasi Karmila; Priatna Dolly; Ramadiyanta Eka; Ramono Widodo S; Reddy Goddilla V
来源:PLos One, 2011, 6(11): e25931.
DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0025931

摘要

Large carnivores living in tropical rainforests are under immense pressure from the rapid conversion of their habitat. In response, millions of dollars are spent on conserving these species. However, the cost-effectiveness of such investments is poorly understood and this is largely because the requisite population estimates are difficult to achieve at appropriate spatial scales for these secretive species. Here, we apply a robust detection/non-detection sampling technique to produce the first reliable population metric (occupancy) for a critically endangered large carnivore; the Sumatran tiger (Panthera tigris sumatrae). From 2007-2009, seven landscapes were surveyed through 13,511 km of transects in 394 grid cells (17617 km). Tiger sign was detected in 206 cells, producing a naive estimate of 0.52. However, after controlling for an unequal detection probability (where p = 0.13 +/- 0.017; +/- S.E.), the estimated tiger occupancy was 0.72 +/- 0.048. Whilst the Sumatra-wide survey results gives cause for optimism, a significant negative correlation between occupancy and recent deforestation was found. For example, the Northern Riau landscape had an average deforestation rate of 9.8%/yr and by far the lowest occupancy (0.33 +/- 0.055). Our results highlight the key tiger areas in need of protection and have led to one area (Leuser-Ulu Masen) being upgraded as a 'global priority' for wild tiger conservation. However, Sumatra has one of the highest global deforestation rates and the two largest tiger landscapes identified in this study will become highly fragmented if their respective proposed roads networks are approved. Thus, it is vital that the Indonesian government tackles these threats, e. g. through improved land-use planning, if it is to succeed in meeting its ambitious National Tiger Recovery Plan targets of doubling the number of Sumatran tigers by 2022.

  • 出版日期2011-11-2
  • 单位Virginia Tech; 美国弗吉尼亚理工大学(Virginia Tech)