Development and validation of a simple integer risk score for prediction of in-hospital mortality following Takotsubo syndrome

作者：Mahmoud Ahmed N^*; Al Ani Mohammad; Saad Marwan; Elgendy Akram Y; Elgendy Islam Y

来源：Heart & Lung, 2016, 45(6): 510-514.

DOI：10.1016/j.hrtlng.2016.08.009

• Mortality
• Takotsubo syndrome
• Risk model
• Stress cardiomyopathy
• Heart failure

Background: Data regarding the characteristics associated with worse outcomes in Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) patients is lacking.
Methods and objectives: The National Inpatient Sample (NIS) 2012 database was utilized to calculate a risk score for in-hospital mortality following TTS that was internally and externally validated in both 2012 and 2013 databases, respectively.
Results: The incidences of in-hospital mortality in the 2012 development sample were 0.2%, 3.2% and 15.6% in the low risk (<= 2), intermediate risk (3-4) and high-risk (>= 5) score groups, respectively. The risk score C-statistics were 0.86 and 0.88 in the development and external validation samples, respectively (p < 0.001). Age >= 80 year was associated with the highest odds ratio (OR) of mortality (OR 8.07, 95% confidence interval (CI) 5.79-11.25). Other important predictors were acute cerebrovascular accident and acute respiratory failure.
Conclusions: The risk of in-hospital mortality following 'ITS could be predicted using a simple risk score, which could aid in identifying and proper management of a higher risk group. Published by Elsevier Inc.

• 出版日期2016-12