APPLICATION OF STOCHASTIC PETRI NETS FOR MODELLING THE TRANSMISSION OF AIRBORNE INFECTION IN INDOOR ENVIRONMENT

作者：Wang, Gang^*; Zhang, Ying; Shepherd, Simon J.; Beggs, Clive B.; Rao, Nini

来源：Acta Medica Mediterranea, 2016, 32: 587-592.

• stochastic Petri nets (SPN)
• airborne infection (AD)
• susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered (SEIR) model
• indoor environment
• Gillespie algorithm

The classical-deterministic susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) model has played an important role in the analysis of epidemic systems with large populations. However, when population numbers become small e.g. in a hospital ward, a stochastic analysis will be vital. The stochastic. Petri-Nets using Gillespie algorithm for modeling the transmission of airborne infections in enclosed spaces is present to be incorporated into an SIR epidemic model with a short incubation period to simulate the transmission dynamics of airborne infectious diseases in indoor environments. The stochastic model not only allows the long-term impact of infection control measures and enables the evaluation of environmental factors, but also depicts the probability of an outbreak of an airborne infection. A quantitative performance study was carried out to demonstrate how to limit the probability rate of outbreak of infection.

• 出版日期2016
• 单位电子科技大学