A Compensatory Approach of the Fixed Localization in EnKF

作者：Wu, Xinrong^*; Li, Wei; Han, Guijun; Zhang, Shaoqing; Wang, Xidong

来源：Monthly Weather Review, 2014, 142(10): 3713-3733.

DOI：10.1175/MWR-D-13-00369.1

• ENSEMBLE KALMAN FILTER
• ADAPTIVE COVARIANCE INFLATION
• MODEL-ERROR REPRESENTATION
• DATA ASSIMILATION
• VARIATIONAL ANALYSIS
• IMPLEMENTATION
• ADJUSTMENT
• PREDICTION
• SCHEME

While fixed covariance localization can greatly increase the reliability of the background error covariance in filtering by suppressing the long-distance spurious correlations evaluated by a finite ensemble, it may degrade the assimilation quality in an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) as a result of restricted longwave information. Tuning an optimal cutoff distance is usually very expensive and time consuming, especially for a general circulation model (GCM). Here the authors present an approach to compensate the demerit in fixed localization. At each analysis step, after the standard EnKF is done, a multiple-scale analysis technique is used to extract longwave information from the observational residual (referred to the EnKF ensemble mean). Within a biased twin-experiment framework consisting of a global barotropical spectral model and an idealized observing system, the performance of the new method is examined. Compared to a standard EnKF, the hybrid method is superior when an overly small/large cutoff distance is used, and it has less dependence on cutoff distance. The new scheme is also able to improve short-term weather forecasts, especially when an overly large cutoff distance is used. Sensitivity studies show that caution should be taken when the new scheme is applied to a dense observing system with an overly small cutoff distance in filtering. In addition, the new scheme has a nearly equivalent computational cost to the standard EnKF; thus, it is particularly suitable for GCM applications.

• 出版日期2014-10
• 单位国家海洋信息中心