Measurement errors in body size of sea scallops (Placopecten magellanicus) and their effect on stock assessment models

作者:Jacobson Larry D*; Stoke**ury Kevin D E; Allard Melissa A; Chute Antonie; Harris Bradley P; Hart Deborah; Jaffarian Tom; Marino Michael C II; Nogueira Jacob I; Rago Paul
来源:Fishery Bulletin, 2010, 108(2): 233-247.

摘要

Body-size measurement errors are usually ignored in stock assessments, but may be important when body-size data (e.g., from visual surveys) are imprecise. We used experiments and models to quantify measurement errors and their effects on assessment models for sea scallops (Placopecten magellanicus). Errors in size data obscured modes from strong year classes and increased frequency and size of the largest and smallest sizes, potentially biasing growth, mortality, and biomass estimates. Modeling techniques for errors in age data proved useful for errors in size data. In terms of a goodness of model fit to the assessment data, it was more important to accommodate variance than bias. Models that accommodated size errors fitted size data substantially better. We recommend experimental quantification of errors along with a modeling approach that accommodates measurement errors because a direct algebraic approach was not robust and because error parameters were difficult to estimate in our assessment model. The importance of measurement errors depends on many factors and should be evaluated on a case by case basis.

  • 出版日期2010-4