Assess the human and environmental vulnerability for coastal hazard by using a multi-criteria decision analysis

作者:Maanan Mehdi*; Maanan Mohamed*; Rueff Henri; Adouk Nessraddine; Zourarah Bendahhou; Rhinane Hassan
来源:Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, 2018, 24(6): 1642-1658.
DOI:10.1080/10807039.2017.1421452

摘要

This study provides an integrated approach using geographical information system (GIS) based on a multi-criteria approach (MCDA) to assess coastal vulnerability, resulting from human activity, population density, erosion, and climate change-induced sea level rise. A coastal vulnerability index (CVI) for erosion and floods was calculated and mapped (approximate to 24km in length; approximate to 400m in width, and 11.47km(2) in surface) for the lagoon barrier of Nador located on the Mediterranean coast of Morocco. Results suggest that 54% (approximate to 13 km) of the shoreline is moderately vulnerable, while 42% (approximate to 10 km) is highly vulnerable and only 4% (1 km) present a low vulnerability. The vulnerability map of the socio-economic activities indicates that most wetlands and forest areas 83% (approximate to 31 ha) and 50% (approximate to 440 ha) respectively, present low vulnerability. 52% percent of artificial areas (approximate to 23 ha), 73% of agricultural land (approximate to 128 ha), and 41% of natural areas (approximate to 363 ha) present moderate vulnerability. However, the level of vulnerability of the remaining artificial and agricultural areas classifies from high to very high. The north-western sector was classified as the most vulnerable area, characterized by an erosion (-0.6 m/yr to -1.20 m/yr) for 70% of this area, while the south-eastern part shows a low to moderate vulnerability marked by an erosion (-0.1 m/yr to -1m/yr) for 40% of this area. Coastal vulnerability maps have potential as decision tools to prepare and respond to sea level rise, and identify exposed coastal zones, as such contributing to national climate action and disaster risk reduction sustainable development goals (goals 13 and 11, respectively).

  • 出版日期2018