摘要

Aims: Following chemoradiotherapy in patients with rectal cancer, the addition of contact X-ray brachytherapy (CXB) in partial responders might increase the proportion of patients with a clinical complete response (cCR) and who are thus suitable for watch and wait management. However, the long-term cost-effectiveness of this approach has not been evaluated.
Materials and methods: Decision analytical modelling and a Markov simulation were used to compare long-term costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and cost-effectiveness from a third-party payer (National Health Service) perspective for treatment strategies after chemoradiotherapy; watch and wait with CXB when a cCR was not initially achieved after external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) (WWCXB), watch and wait with EBRT alone (WWEBRT) and radical surgery for all patients. The effect of uncertainty in model parameters and patient demographics was investigated.
Results: WWCXB had a higher QALY payoff than both radical surgery and WWEBRT and was less costly in most scenarios and demographic cohorts. In all plausible scenarios, WWCXB was the most cost-effective, at a threshold of 20 pound 000/QALY. This finding was insensitive to uncertainty associated with model parameters.
Conclusions: WWCXB is likely to be cost-effective compared with both WWEBRT alone and radical surgery. These findings support the use of CXB boost as an adjunct to a watch and wait strategy.

  • 出版日期2018-3