摘要

This work is the first systematic quantitative analysis of the heavy metal situation along the Zhejiang coastal region focusing on the integrative assessment of the concentrations of seven heavy metals (Cu, Cd, Hg, Zn, Pb, Cr, and As) in surface sediments during the 2012-2015 period. Different heavy metal contamination indices were used for surface sediment quality assessment purposes. The numerical results revealed a noticeable spatial fluctuation of the degree of contamination throughout the region during the four years considered. Higher contamination levels and ecological risks were detected in the southern part of the Zhejiang coastal region. It was found that the Cu, Cd and Hg were the predominant contaminants along the Zhejiang coast with mean regional concentrations varying between 29.1 and 34.2, 0.12-017, and 0.044-0.052 mg/kg, respectively. The Cr and Pb exhibited lower contamination levels than the other metals during each one of the years 2012-2015. Stochastic site indicators of heavy metal contamination were used to assess regional uncertainties and obtain useful physical interpretations of the state of contamination of the Zhejiang coast. These indicators can be expressed explicitly in terms of probabilities of heavy metal contamination (either at a global scale or spatially distributed over the coastal region), and therefore they can be considered as risk indicators. It was found that the fraction of the coastal region where excess contamination occurred could never exceed the ratio of the mean heavy metal contamination over the selected threshold. In half of the coast study region, the degree of heavy metal contamination was higher than the median spatial contamination values during the month of August of the years 2012-2015. The spatial means of excess contamination and excess differential contamination increased as the relative area of over-contamination increased. Within the substantially contaminated sub-region of the Zhejiang coast, stronger contamination correlations were observed between locations separated by shorter distances. These correlations were higher when smaller thresholds were considered. As regards the spatial connectivity of the corresponding contamination risks, it was found that 44%, 31%, 39% and 63% of the location pairs in the Zhejiang coast simultaneously experienced moderate risks during the years 2012, 2013, 2014 and 2015, respectively. The ratio of the probability of excess contamination at both locations separated by distances < 20 km over the probability of excess contamination at either one of these two locations was high even for large thresholds, indicating that locations with high contamination are concentrated rather than being dispersed along the Zhejiang coast. Lastly, another interesting finding is that the characterization of the Zhejiang coastal region as over-contaminated is very sensitive to the DC threshold considered, that is, a small increase in the threshold selected can reduce significantly the probability that region is characterized as over-contaminated.