A correction method suitable for dynamical seasonal prediction

作者：Chen H^*; Lin ZH

来源：Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2006, 23(3): 425-430.

DOI：10.1007/s00376-006-0425-3

• correction method
• dynamical seasonal prediction
• summer rainfall anomaly

Based on the hindcast results of summer rainfall anomalies over China for the period 1981-2000 by the Dynamical Climate Prediction System (IAP-DCP) developed by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, a correction method that can account for the dependence of model's systematic biases on SST anomalies is proposed. It is shown that this correction method can improve the hindcast skill of the IAP-DCP for summer rainfall anomalies over China, especially in western China and southeast China, which may imply its potential application to real-time seasonal prediction.

• 出版日期2006-5
• 单位中国科学院大气物理研究所