Analysis of global terrorism dynamics by means of entropy and state space portrait

作者：Lopes Antonio M; Tenreiro Machado J A; Mata Maria Eugenia

来源：Nonlinear Dynamics, 2016, 85(3): 1547-1560.

DOI：10.1007/s11071-016-2778-1

• Dynamical systems
• Entropy
• Fractal dimension
• State space portrait
• Multidimensional scaling
• Terrorism

This paper studies the global terrorism dynamics over the period 1970-2014. Data about terrorist events are analyzed by means of several mathematical tools, namely fractal dimension, entropy, state space portrait and multidimensional scaling, that reflect the dynamics in time and space. In a first phase, we consider worldwide events and we unveil the space-time characteristics exhibited by the global terrorism statistics. In a second phase, we group the events into eight geographic regions, and we analyze terrorism dynamics in a regional perspective. Finally, in a third phase, we adopt a complementary analysis of global terrorism based on multidimensional scaling and clustering techniques. The proposed methodology reveals to support new directions for exploring terrorism data.

• 出版日期2016-8