A Prognostic Nomogram for Overall Survival of Patients After Hepatectomy for Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma

作者:Yeh Chun Nan*; Wang Shang Yu; Chen Yen Yang; Chen Ming Huang; Chiang Kun Chun; Cheng Chi Tung; Tsai Chun Yi; Wang Chih Chi; Yeh Ta Sen*; Chen Tse Ching
来源:Anticancer Research, 2016, 36(8): 4249-4258.

摘要

Aim: We hypothesized that a nomogram can accurately predict overall survival (OS) for patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) after hepatectomy. Materials and Methods: A nomogram to predict OS based was developed using data from 185 ICC patients who had undergone hepatectomy. The nomogram was evaluated by concordance index (C-index), as well as testing calibration of predicted OS with observed OS for both internal and external cohorts. Results: Ten clinicopathological independent factors for OS prediction were selected for use in the nomogram. For internal validation, the calibration curve for probability of OS showed good agreement between prediction by the nomogram and actual observation. In three external validation cohorts, the nomogram discrimination was also superior to two other staging systems. Conclusion: A nomogram integrating ten clinicopathological variables was developed that may assist in individual prognostic prediction of ICC after hepatectomy.

  • 出版日期2016-8
  • 单位长春大学