Multi-level climate adaptation policy and causation narratives

作者：Patt Anthony^*

来源：Danish Journal of Geography, 2012, 112(2): 174-182.

DOI：10.1080/00167223.2012.742967

• climate change adaptation
• narratives
• causation

Climate adaptation policies are meant to reduce the negative consequences of the impacts associated with anthropogenic climate change, and in turn their success often depends on causal relationships within natural and human systems. In this paper, I examine the use of narratives about these causal relationships and explore why narratives with little basis in observation can persist in guiding policy. I examine three case studies, one concerning a narrative of climate impacts, a second concerning the relationship between household wealth and vulnerability, and the third concerning the procedures and needs of policy-makers themselves. In each case, I find that the narrative that was needed to legitimize and continue the resource flow within an existing policy process continued, despite growing empirical and model-driven evidence to suggest that the narrative may not be correct. I compare these stories with theories from sociological and evolutionary theory and suggest the importance of correcting or improving policy processes to avoid this pathology.

• 出版日期2012
• 单位国际应用系统分析学会(IIASA)